Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Take a Deep Breath......

The impasse is broken.  There are those Democrats who excoriate their colleagues for being wimps and having no backbone to hold their ground.  I think that is rather short-sighted.  It may appear that Democrats surrendered when the temperature got a little too hot, but if you take the long view, it actually seems like the smart thing to do.

First of all, the Democrat’s pressure resulted in 6 year financing of health insurance for over 9 million underpriviledged children which Republicans had repeatedly backed away from, even to the point of standing there with their arms folded saying essentially, “I don’t care about the health of those children.”  That is a really good thing!

Secondly, they got a ‘commitment’ from McConnell to bring to the Senate floor for a vote a bill that deals with immigration, which is something he has refused to do up until now.  I have already told you how I feel about McConnell in a previous blog, so I hold no trust in his follow-through.  He is a slimebag and we can expect him to try to weasel his way out of honoring his word.  However that will be a lot harder to do now.  Why?

Because, thirdly, he is now faced with a substantial new power base that has arisen in the Senate in the form of moderate Democrats and Republicans who pushed for and got an agreement through the Senate to end the shutdown.  These 25 or so legislators actually acted in the best interest of the country, which is something we haven’t seen for awhile!  It remains to be seen whether this group will be able to alter the course of the majority to actually get an immigration bill through the Senate, but we won’t have to wait that long to find out.  Either way, McConnell has lost some of his cache because now there are a substantial number of Republicans who have actually put country before party.

Fourth, the Dreamers will just have to wait a few more weeks.  Their deadline is still over a month away, and as much as they have to grind their teeth over this, all is not lost.  Can you imagine what might happen if Trump actually starts to try to deport these people?  My guess is that the resistance might take some actions that as yet we have not seen, but you can be sure would be ugly!  The House will be a separate fight if, in fact, the Senate passes something, but much can happen between now and then.

Fifth, Trump has shown his Republican ‘colleagues’ that he is an abject failure as a negotiator.  The last two weeks have shown him, and much of the country, just how weak he is and how malleable he is by his Rasputin like staff and arch conservative Republicans.  This Miller character is all bad.  I knew he was bad news from the moment he made his television debut on a Sunday morning talk show and decreed to all of us that ‘This President will not be disobeyed!’ (I knew kids like him in Junior High School….arrogant and self-righteous---and no one cared to be around them—ever!)  And Kelly!  The two of them are ‘managing’ Trump’s access to outside influence.  I think many Republicans are now seeing why it is important to take power and responsibility to be a check and balance against the chaos, lies and madness emanating from the White House.

Sixth, as mad and angry as the Democratic progressives are, tempering of their anger is a good thing when seen in the context of actually making strong headway in the November midterms.  Moderate Democrats elected in 2016, and those senators up for re-election in 2018 in really ‘red’ states need to be protected.  We need them in the Senate.  There would be a good chance they would be sacrificed if the shutdown had dragged on and been blamed on the Democrats.  No need to take that chance now.  The most, and I mean the MOST important result we need is to make the majority party the minority party after November.  Everything must be in service of that objective.


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So on balance, even though at first blush it seems like the Democrats ‘caved’ according to ‘His Trumpness’, I think Schumer and the Democratic caucus made the right call.  You have to pick your battles in the effort to ultimately win the war.

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